As
the name indicates this book is actually a little book of economics. Greg IP
discusses about different macro-economic aspects in simple terms with 15
little chapters. One will not be an expert by studying this book but will get surface
level idea on various issues of economics. He discusses about economic growth,
economic cycle, inflation, unemployment, central banks, fiscal and monetary
policies etc. This book is written in the US perspective but basic concept is applicable
for every economy.
Long
run growth of an economy depends on two factors i.e. population and
productivity of an economy. Population determines the supply of workers and the
growth of population is subjected to longevity of people, number of women in
child-bearing age, number of babies per women, and migration of people from
other countries.
Another factor of economic growth is productivity which means
how much each worker earns and it rests on capital and ideas. Capital increases
productivity though increased investments for buildings and machinery where ideas
through innovating new business process and new products. When an economy is
riding on the growth curve it also requires nurturing the growth through development
of human capital, ensuring rule of law, and letting the market mechanism to
work freely.
Every
economy faces ups and downs on the way to long-run growth. Theses generally
result from the expectations of different economic entities about the economy.
Among 4 engines of economy i.e. consumer, business, government, and exports, GDP
gets more volatile for the changes in spending in housing, business inventories,
and big ticket consumer purchase.
In
understating the heath of an economy, job growth and unemployment are important
consideration. In economic up-turn, there would be satisfactory level of growth
and normal unemployment rate but reverse would be seen in down-turn. Another
most talked about issue of an economy is inflation. Generally, in the marketplace,
price signals about the surplus and shortage of particular products and based on
that the businesses determine the supply level but inflation contaminates this
system. Inflation acts as a hidden tax and arbitrarily punishes some people and
rewards others. This inflation also shares an inverse relationship with
unemployment.
Federal
Reserve System (FED), central bank of the US, acts as the lender of last resort
for the banks and financial institutions and prepares monetary policy which
determines the interest rate in an economy based on the output gap, current
inflation position and future outlook of inflation and output gap. Fiscal
policy also plays a crucial role in shaping the economy. It includes the
federal government spending as interest on debts, discretionary spending, and
mandatory spending, and the sources of financing these spending. Federal government
finances the spending mainly with tax revenue and debt. But high debt to GDP
(highly leveraged situation) is alarming and an economy needs to escape this
through economic growth, spending cuts or increasing tax, bailout, inflation, or
defaults. High leverage situation along with a bubble, mismatches of
expectations, spreading of panic (contagion) and elections may cause a
financial crisis also.
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